Explainable forecasting
Machine-learning forecasts with visible context.
NeoInvest is designed to show what an estimate says, what it is based on, how uncertain it is and when it should no longer be relied upon.
What the forecast represents
A machine-learning estimate of possible movement over a stated horizon, expressed as a probability and an estimated range rather than a single predicted price.
One-day and ten-trading-day horizons
The one-day horizon reflects short-term conditions. The ten-trading-day horizon covers a longer window in which more can change, so its uncertainty is normally wider.
Probability and estimated range
Positive-movement probability and the estimated return range are shown together. A range describes plausible outcomes under current inputs; it does not contain every possible outcome.
Confidence versus certainty
Confidence describes how consistently the model's inputs agree. It is not the probability of making a profit and it is not a statement of certainty.
Supporting and limiting factors
Each output lists the factors pushing the estimate in each direction, so a reader can weigh the reasoning rather than accept a score.
What changed
Where a previous forecast exists, the product shows what moved and why, so a change in output is inspectable rather than unexplained.
Forecast generation and expiry
Every forecast carries a generation time and an expiry. After expiry it should not be relied upon as current.
Model versions
Outputs carry the model version that produced them, so an explanation can be traced to a specific methodology.
Known limitations
Models are built on historical patterns. Unexpected events, changing market regimes, thin liquidity and incomplete data can all produce materially different outcomes.
Why this is not a recommendation
An estimate describes conditions. It does not account for your circumstances, objectives or risk tolerance, and NeoInvest does not tell you what to buy, sell or hold.
Confidence describes the strength and consistency of the analytical output. It does not guarantee a future market result.
Forecasts are model-based estimates. Unexpected events, changing conditions and incomplete information may lead to materially different outcomes.
NeoInvest does not publish model accuracy or historical performance statistics until they have been independently validated and approved for publication.